Sport Picks

Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Toto Turner Stadium

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

H. Beer Sheva play Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, H. Beer Sheva averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Maccabi Tel Aviv averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, H. Beer Sheva won 3, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 26, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for H. Beer Sheva and 1.94 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. This points to a H. Beer Sheva double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

H. Beer Sheva

15%

Draws

38%

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: H. Beer Sheva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

H. Beer Sheva picked up more points recently compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%

Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	H. Beer Sheva	Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	17	16
Draws	6	4
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	2.14	1.93
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 State Cup

H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

May 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

4:2

Apr 28, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Apr 12, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

1:3

Dec 7, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kangwa K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ahmed Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Beer Sheva 44 / 100

Maccabi Tel Aviv 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

H. Beer Sheva Maccabi Tel Aviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: H. Beer Sheva or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

H. Beer Sheva attacking → ← attacking Maccabi Tel Aviv

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Beer Sheva scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Maccabi Tel Aviv let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

H. Beer Sheva went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Maccabi Tel Aviv lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 52

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	H. Beer Sheva	36	24	7	5	79:38	79
2	Beitar Jerusalem	36	22	10	4	78:40	76
3	Maccabi Tel Aviv	36	19	9	8	72:46	66
4	Hapoel Tel Aviv	36	18	8	10	55:35	60
5	Maccabi Haifa	36	15	10	11	66:47	55
6	Hapoel Petah Tikva	36	9	13	14	48:57	40