Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef South

Maccabi Yavne

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

H. Herzliya play Maccabi Yavne in the Liga Alef South. It looks like a close match. Recently, H. Herzliya averaged 1 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Maccabi Yavne averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, H. Herzliya won 1, Maccabi Yavne won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for H. Herzliya and 0.56 for Maccabi Yavne. This points to a Maccabi Yavne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

H. Herzliya

33%

Draws

41%

Maccabi Yavne

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maccabi Yavne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

H. Herzliya picked up more points recently compared to Maccabi Yavne.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 0.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 30%

Maccabi Yavne Clean Sheet 25%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	H. Herzliya	Maccabi Yavne
Matches Played	22	22
Wins	5	10
Draws	7	6
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1	1.86
Goals Conceded	1.64	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Liga Alef South

H. Herzliya vs Maccabi Yavne

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Jan 10, 2026 Liga Alef South

Maccabi Yavne vs H. Herzliya

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

May 8, 2025 Liga Alef - Promotion Play Offs

H. Herzliya vs Maccabi Yavne

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Mar 28, 2025 Liga Alef South

Maccabi Yavne vs H. Herzliya

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Dec 6, 2024 Liga Alef South

H. Herzliya vs Maccabi Yavne

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Herzliya 29 / 100

Maccabi Yavne 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

H. Herzliya Maccabi Yavne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maccabi Yavne or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

H. Herzliya attacking → ← attacking Maccabi Yavne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Herzliya scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Maccabi Yavne let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

H. Herzliya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Maccabi Yavne lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 36

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	53:18	55
2	Jerusalem FC	22	11	4	7	45:29	37
3	FC Dimona	22	11	4	7	29:30	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	42:28	36
5	Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	27:27	35
6	Tzeirei Tira	21	10	3	8	33:24	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	28:28	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	27:34	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	28:31	29
10	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	30:33	24
11	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	20:34	24
12	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	17:20	23
13	H. Herzliya	22	5	7	10	22:36	22
14	Ramat Hasharon	22	5	5	12	24:43	19
15	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	37:35	16
16	Beitar Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	28:40	15