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Haarlem vs Telstar Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2009/2010
Mon, Feb 15, 2010
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haarlem host Telstar in the Eerste Divisie 2009/2010. Haarlem go into this one as the clear favorite. Telstar have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Haarlem have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Haarlem slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2010, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.43) point toward Haarlem. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Haarlem
25%
Draws
35%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Haarlem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Telstar lately — more wins on the board than Haarlem.
  • Haarlem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Haarlem Clean Sheet 17%
Telstar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haarlem Telstar
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2010 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Telstar
0:0
Oct 4, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Haarlem
0:0
Sep 22, 2009 KNVB Beker
Telstar vs Haarlem
1:3
Feb 8, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Haarlem
0:0
Aug 31, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Telstar
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haarlem 84 / 100
Telstar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haarlem Telstar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haarlem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telstar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Telstar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Haarlem scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Telstar
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Haarlem

(Home)
27 Jul
Sheffield Wed
2 : 3
Haarlem
27 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Haarlem

Telstar

(Away)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 36 25 6 5 85:34 81
2 Cambuur 36 21 8 7 78:48 71
3 Excelsior 36 20 5 11 77:49 65
4 Zwolle 36 19 8 9 59:37 65
5 G.A. Eagles 36 18 9 9 53:33 63
6 Apeldoorn 36 16 9 11 63:52 55
7 Den Bosch 36 14 12 10 66:54 54
8 Helmond Sport 36 16 6 14 63:53 54
9 Veendam 36 14 11 11 57:48 52
10 Maastricht 36 14 7 15 59:67 49
11 Roosendaal 36 12 10 14 47:53 46
12 Eindhoven FC 36 13 7 16 63:81 46
13 Dordrecht 36 13 4 19 54:59 43
14 Almere City 36 11 7 18 40:65 40
15 FC Emmen 36 10 8 18 51:79 38
16 FC Volendam 36 8 11 17 61:81 35
17 Sittard 36 7 9 20 31:57 30
18 Telstar 36 7 8 21 45:65 29
19 TOP Oss 36 6 11 19 42:79 29
20 Haarlem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)