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Habay La Neuve vs Ethe Belmont

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Habay La Neuve play Ethe Belmont in the Belgian Cup 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Habay La Neuve averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Ethe Belmont averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Habay La Neuve won 1, Ethe Belmont won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 4, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Habay La Neuve and 1.38 for Ethe Belmont. This points to a Ethe Belmont double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Habay La Neuve
15%
Draws
43%
Ethe Belmont
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethe Belmont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Habay La Neuve picked up more points recently compared to Ethe Belmont.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Habay La Neuve Clean Sheet 17%
Ethe Belmont Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Habay La Neuve Ethe Belmont
Matches Played 34 20
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2019 Belgian Cup
Habay La Neuve vs Ethe Belmont
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Habay La Neuve 41 / 100
Ethe Belmont 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Habay La Neuve Ethe Belmont

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ethe Belmont or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Habay La Neuve attacking → ← attacking Ethe Belmont

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Habay La Neuve scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Ethe Belmont let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Habay La Neuve went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ethe Belmont lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00