Sport Picks

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Hacettepe SK vs Kahta

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2021/2022 Ankara 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Thu, Sep 30, 2021
1 - 3
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hacettepe SK play Kahta in the Turkish Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hacettepe SK averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Kahta averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Hacettepe SK won 0, Kahta won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 30, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Hacettepe SK and 1.81 for Kahta. This points to a Kahta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hacettepe SK
31%
Draws
46%
Kahta
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Kahta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Hacettepe SK picked up more points recently compared to Kahta.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Hacettepe SK Clean Sheet 11%
Kahta Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hacettepe SK Kahta
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2021 Turkish Cup
Hacettepe SK vs Kahta
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hacettepe SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuzcu A. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kahta Compare

Top Goalscorer Okur E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hacettepe SK 23 / 100
Kahta 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hacettepe SK Kahta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kahta or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hacettepe SK attacking → ← attacking Kahta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hacettepe SK scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Kahta let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hacettepe SK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kahta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 41
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13