Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hadiya Hossana play Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hadiya Hossana averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Ethiopia Nigd Bank averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Hadiya Hossana won 2, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 19, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Hadiya Hossana and 0.81 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank. This points to a Hadiya Hossana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Hadiya Hossana

35%

Draws

29%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hadiya Hossana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Hadiya Hossana picked up more points recently compared to Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 26%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hadiya Hossana	Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	11	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	0.87	1.23
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League

Hadiya Hossana vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Jan 10, 2026 Premier League

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hadiya Hossana

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Jun 9, 2025 Premier League

Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hadiya Hossana

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Jan 20, 2025 Premier League

Hadiya Hossana vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Mar 10, 2024 Premier League

Hadiya Hossana vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadiya Hossana 38 / 100

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hadiya Hossana or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hadiya Hossana attacking → ← attacking Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadiya Hossana scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.40 goals.

Hadiya Hossana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 39

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35