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Hadiya Hossana vs Fasil Kenema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hadiya Hossana host Fasil Kenema in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Hadiya Hossana have averaged 0.74 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Fasil Kenema's 0.67 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Hadiya Hossana have won 1 to Fasil Kenema's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 0.75, favoring Fasil Kenema. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hadiya Hossana
30%
Draws
47%
Fasil Kenema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fasil Kenema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fasil Kenema lately — more wins on the board than Hadiya Hossana.
  • Model gives Hadiya Hossana a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 20%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hadiya Hossana Fasil Kenema
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.74 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Fasil Kenema
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
May 1, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Hadiya Hossana
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Fasil Kenema
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadiya Hossana 36 / 100
Fasil Kenema 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hadiya Hossana Fasil Kenema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadiya Hossana scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Hadiya Hossana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Fasil Kenema conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hadiya Hossana VS Fasil Kenema
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hadiya Hossana

(Home)
11 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Bahir Dar Kenema
03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0
Hadiya Hossana
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1
Dire Dawa
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1
Hadiya Hossana
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 6

Fasil Kenema

(Away)
10 Oct
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Fasil Kenema
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0
Arba Menche
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Halaba Ketema FC 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Adama City 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 Sheger Ketema FC 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Mechal SC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Bahir Dar Kenema 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Welayta Dicha 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Fasil Kenema 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 St. Georges 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 Hawassa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Ethio Electric S.C. 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
16 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Hadiya Hossana 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)