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Stadium Background

Hadiya Hossana vs Fasil Kenema

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Tekeste H.
42' Event
Eyasu T.

AI Match Summary

Fasil Kenema in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fasil Kenema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hadiya Hossana
30%
Draws
34%
Fasil Kenema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hadiya Hossana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Fasil Kenema at 1 per game, Hadiya Hossana at 0.63.
  • Win probability leans Hadiya Hossana's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 20%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hadiya Hossana Fasil Kenema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Fasil Kenema
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
May 1, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Hadiya Hossana
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Fasil Kenema
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hadiya Hossana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Fasil Kenema Compare

Top Goalscorer Eyasu T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadiya Hossana 36 / 100
Fasil Kenema 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hadiya Hossana Fasil Kenema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadiya Hossana's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hadiya Hossana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Fasil Kenema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hadiya Hossana VS Fasil Kenema
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635