Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Hadiya Hossana

0 - 2

Sheger Ketema FC

Our Tip

Match Events

50'

Abdo A.

68'

Hailu M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheger Ketema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Hadiya Hossana

40%

Draws

29%

Sheger Ketema FC

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Hadiya Hossana lately — more wins on the board than Sheger Ketema FC.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 10%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 68%

Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hadiya Hossana	Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	11	14
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	0.63	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League

Hadiya Hossana vs Sheger Ketema FC

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Nov 9, 2025 Premier League

Sheger Ketema FC vs Hadiya Hossana

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hadiya Hossana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdo A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hailu M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadiya Hossana 42 / 100

Sheger Ketema FC 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hadiya Hossana Sheger Ketema FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadiya Hossana found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hadiya Hossana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Sheger Ketema FC conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hadiya Hossana VS Sheger Ketema FC

0.63 Goals Scored 0.5

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

25% Over 1.5 38%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35