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Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hadiya Hossana host Welwalo Adigrat in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Welwalo Adigrat have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while Hadiya Hossana have conceded 0.86 and scored 0.79. Head-to-head, Hadiya Hossana have won 2 to Welwalo Adigrat's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 22, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.38 - 0.63) back Welwalo Adigrat to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Hadiya Hossana
35%
Draws
40%
Welwalo Adigrat
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Welwalo Adigrat lately — more wins on the board than Hadiya Hossana.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 20%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hadiya Hossana Welwalo Adigrat
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:2
May 13, 2025 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Hadiya Hossana
1:0
Apr 25, 2020 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadiya Hossana 32 / 100
Welwalo Adigrat 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hadiya Hossana Welwalo Adigrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welwalo Adigrat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadiya Hossana found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Hadiya Hossana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Welwalo Adigrat conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hadiya Hossana VS Welwalo Adigrat
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hadiya Hossana

(Home)
11 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Bahir Dar Kenema
03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0
Hadiya Hossana
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1
Dire Dawa
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1
Hadiya Hossana
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 6

Welwalo Adigrat

(Away)
09 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopian Insurance 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Mechal SC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Bahir Dar Kenema 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Sheger Ketema FC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 St. Georges 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Welayta Dicha 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Fasil Kenema 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Hawassa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Hadiya Hossana 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)