Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Birgisson A.
Assist: Halldorsson K.
14' Event
Ingimarsson S. T.
Assist: Ingason B.
36' Event
Eggertsson O.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Hafnarfjordur and Stjarnan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hafnarfjordur
39%
Draws
31%
Stjarnan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Stjarnan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 68%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur Stjarnan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 13 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan
2:2
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Hafnarfjordur
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Hafnarfjordur
0:0
Jul 7, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan
1:1
Apr 7, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Hafnarfjordur
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olafsson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingimarsson S. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eggertsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 41 / 100
Stjarnan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur Stjarnan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Hafnarfjordur remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Hafnarfjordur scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS Stjarnan
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
03 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 2
Stjarnan
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Stjarnan

(Away)
26 Jul
Akranes
5 : 1
Stjarnan
23 Jul
Stjarnan
1 : 0
Ilves
19 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 0
Stjarnan
16 Jul
Vikingur
2 : 2
Stjarnan
09 Jul
Stjarnan
3 : 1
Vikingur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik16141154:1243
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram16104241:2834
4Breidablik1685335:2629
5Valur1661926:3219
6Keflavik1654725:3319
7Akranes1653826:3418
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1644826:3416
9KA Akureyri1643924:3215
10Stjarnan1643929:4115
11Hafnarfjordur1627720:3113
12Thor Akureyri16331017:4212
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)