Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Hafnarfjordur Logo

Hafnarfjordur

2 - 2
FT
Stjarnan Logo

Stjarnan

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Birgisson A.
Assist: Halldorsson K.
14' Event
Ingimarsson S. T.
Assist: Ingason B.
36' Event
Eggertsson O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Hafnarfjordur and Stjarnan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hafnarfjordur
20%
Draws
40%
Stjarnan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Stjarnan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hafnarfjordur's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 68%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur Stjarnan
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan
5:2
Jul 3, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan
2:2
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Hafnarfjordur
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Hafnarfjordur
0:0
Jul 7, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olafsson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingimarsson S. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eggertsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 59 / 100
Stjarnan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur Stjarnan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stjarnan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Hafnarfjordur scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Hafnarfjordur stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS Stjarnan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

Stjarnan

(Away)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)