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Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Hafnarfjordur Logo

Hafnarfjordur

2 - 4
FT
Vikingur Reykjavik Logo

Vikingur Reykjavik

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Tryggvason G.
31' Event
Olafsson I.
Assist: Halldorsson K.
36' Event
Gudjonsson H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vikingur Reykjavik in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hafnarfjordur
30%
Draws
31%
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vikingur Reykjavik lately — more wins on the board than Hafnarfjordur.
  • Win probability leans Hafnarfjordur's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vikingur Reykjavik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 16%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 22
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.37 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2:4
May 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
5:0
Oct 5, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2:2
May 11, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Olafsson I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Birgisson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudjonsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 41 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur Vikingur Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Hafnarfjordur scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Vikingur Reykjavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Hafnarfjordur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS Vikingur Reykjavik
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
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Vikingur Reykjavik

(Away)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
27 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
3 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)