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Hafnir vs KM Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hafnir play KM Reykjavik in the Icelandic Cup 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hafnir averaged 2.63 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. KM Reykjavik averaged 0.57 goals scored and 5.71 conceded. In past meetings, Hafnir won 1, KM Reykjavik won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2024 ended 12:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Hafnir and 1.72 for KM Reykjavik. This points to a Hafnir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Hafnir
15%
Draws
36%
KM Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Hafnir picked up more points recently compared to KM Reykjavik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.72 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Hafnir Clean Sheet 12%
KM Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnir KM Reykjavik
Matches Played 8 7
Wins 3 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.63 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.88 5.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 5.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Hafnir vs KM Reykjavik
12:0
Apr 10, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Hafnir vs KM Reykjavik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnir Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

KM Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnir 47 / 100
KM Reykjavik 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnir KM Reykjavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hafnir or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hafnir attacking → ← attacking KM Reykjavik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hafnir scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

KM Reykjavik let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Hafnir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

KM Reykjavik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 6
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.57
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.71