Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hafnir vs KM Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Peralta A.
75'
Hiller J.
75'
Hiller J.

AI Match Summary

KM Reykjavik in this Icelandic Cup 2022 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hafnir
15%
Draws
28%
KM Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hafnir have won more games recently than KM Reykjavik.
  • Hafnir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hafnir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KM Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Hafnir Clean Sheet 12%
KM Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnir KM Reykjavik
Matches Played 8 7
Wins 3 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.63 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.88 5.71
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Hafnir vs KM Reykjavik
12:0
Apr 10, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Hafnir vs KM Reykjavik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnir Compare

Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

KM Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnir 83 / 100
KM Reykjavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnir KM Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KM Reykjavik let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Away concern: KM Reykjavik has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Hafnir scored in 50% of their last 8 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hafnir VS KM Reykjavik
2.63 Goals Scored 0.57
2.88 Goals Conceded 5.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnir

(Home)
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0
Hafnir
05 Apr
Throttur
7 : 0
Hafnir
28 Mar
Ymir
3 : 4
Hafnir
25 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 2
Hafnir
12 Apr
Hafnir
3 : 0
Ulfarnir
Page 1 of 2

KM Reykjavik

(Away)
05 Apr
Hafnir
12 : 0
KM Reykjavik
22 Apr
Grotta
12 : 0
KM Reykjavik
10 Apr
Hafnir
0 : 1
KM Reykjavik
25 Apr
KM Reykjavik
0 : 4
Haukar
06 Jun
Midas
4 : 1
KM Reykjavik
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KFK Kopavogur 0
Throttur 1
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Grotta 8
KH Hlidarendi 0
Hafnir 0
KM Reykjavik 1
Volsungur -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 3
Samherjar 6
Sindri 6
Spyrnir 0
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 1
KFR 0
Isbjorninn 1
Selfoss 9
Tindastoll 0
Fjallabyggd 4
TBD -
Magni -
KA Asvellir 4
KB Breidholt 0
Haukar 4
Lettir 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Fjolnir 1
KFG Gardabaer 4
Augnablik 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Stokkseyri 0
Hviti 11
RB Keflavik 10
Gullfalkinn 4
Kordrengir 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Alftanes 5
Vestri -
TBD -
Vidir 6
SR Reykjavik 0
Afturelding 5
Ymir 0
Vaengirs 7
Alafoss 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kari 3
Arborg 0
Berserkir / Midas 0
Olafsvik 6
GG Grindavik 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 6
Reynir Hellissandur 5
Skallagrimur 1
Throttur Vogar 0
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kria 5
IBU 8
Reynir 6
Arbaer 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Boltafelag Nordfjardar 0
Einherji 2
KFB 0
Aegir 15
Smari 2
KFS 4
Fylkir -
TBD -
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Ulfarnir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
Throttur 0
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Dalvik/Reynir 5
Thor Akureyri 7
Samherjar 0
Sindri 2
KFA 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 0
Selfoss 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 2
KA Asvellir 0
Haukar 5
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
KFG Gardabaer 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Hviti 6
RB Keflavik 0
Kordrengir 5
Alftanes 0
Vestri 2
Vidir 0
Afturelding 3
Vaengirs 1
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Kari 2
Olafsvik 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 3
Reynir Hellissandur 0
IR Reykjavik 16
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 0
Reynir 4
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn 3
Einherji 2
Aegir 1
KFS 0
Fylkir 5
Ulfarnir 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Sindri 3
Akranes 5
Breidablik 6
Valur 2
Selfoss 2
Magni 1
Haukar 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 7
Keflavik 1
Njardvik 4
Stjarnan 0
KR Reykjavik 3
Hviti 0
Kordrengir 2
Vestri 2
Afturelding 3
Hafnarfjordur 3
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IR Reykjavik 2
KA Akureyri 4
Reynir 1
Fram 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Hottur / Huginn 1
Aegir 3
Fylkir 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Akranes 2
Breidablik 3
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Njardvik 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Kordrengir 2
Afturelding 1
Hafnarfjordur 6
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri 4
Fram 1
Aegir 1
Fylkir 0
Quarter-finals
Kopavogur 0
Breidablik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
KR Reykjavik 3
Kordrengir 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
KA Akureyri 3
Aegir 0
Semi-finals
Breidablik 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2