Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hai Phong vs Binh Duong

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Lạch Tray Stadium, Haiphong
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Luiz Antonio
18' Event
Nguyen Van Anh
28' Event
Trieu Viet Hung

AI Match Summary

Hai Phong in this V.League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hai Phong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hai Phong
20%
Draws
61%
Binh Duong
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Binh Duong haven't matched Hai Phong's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Binh Duong a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hai Phong Clean Sheet 13%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hai Phong Binh Duong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 V.League 1
Hai Phong vs Binh Duong
4:2
Nov 5, 2025 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Hai Phong
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 V.League 1
Hai Phong vs Binh Duong
4:2
Sep 21, 2024 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Hai Phong
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 V.League 1
Hai Phong vs Binh Duong
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hai Phong Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Antonio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trieu Viet Hung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Binh Duong Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Van Anh
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zlatkovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hai Phong 10 / 100
Binh Duong 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hai Phong Binh Duong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binh Duong Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Binh Duong conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Hai Phong scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Hai Phong has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hai Phong VS Binh Duong
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hai Phong

(Home)
20 Sept
Hai Phong
0 : 1
Thep Can Tho
13 Sept
Gia Lai
1 : 3
Hai Phong
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
07 Jun
Hai Phong
1 : 1
Nam Dinh
31 May
PVF-CAND
3 : 1
Hai Phong
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Binh Duong

(Away)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
13 Sept
Van Hien
0 : 0
Binh Duong
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Aurora Saigon United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)