Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Haiti U17 vs Guatemala U17

World World

World Cup U17 2025 Estadio Cementos Progreso, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Jean-Philippe D.
90' Event
Joseph M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Haiti U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Haiti U17
15%
Draws
42%
Guatemala U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Haiti U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guatemala U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Haiti U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Haiti U17, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Haiti U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Haiti U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Guatemala U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haiti U17 Guatemala U17
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 World Cup U17
Haiti U17 vs Guatemala U17
2:1
Feb 17, 2025 World Cup U17
Haiti U17 vs Guatemala U17
2:0
Apr 9, 2013 CONCACAF Championship U17
Guatemala U17 vs Haiti U17
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haiti U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean-Philippe D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Guatemala U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haiti U17 10 / 100
Guatemala U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haiti U17 Guatemala U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guatemala U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Haiti U17 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Guatemala U17 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Haiti U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Haiti U17 VS Guatemala U17
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Haiti U17

(Home)
11 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 1
Guatemala U17
07 Feb
Antigua and Barbuda U17
0 : 4
Haiti U17
05 Feb
Haiti U17
5 : 1
Grenada U17
10 Nov
Venezuela U17
4 : 2
Haiti U17
07 Nov
England U17
8 : 1
Haiti U17
Page 1 of 7

Guatemala U17

(Away)
11 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 1
Guatemala U17
08 Feb
Grenada U17
0 : 7
Guatemala U17
06 Feb
Guatemala U17
2 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda U17
17 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 0
Guatemala U17
14 Feb
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
0 : 5
Guatemala U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 4 4 0 0 28:2 12
2 Curacao U17 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
3 Bermuda U17 4 2 0 2 10:14 6
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U17 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
5 Anguilla U17 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U17 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Guyana U17 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 British Virgin Islands U17 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sint Maarten U17 4 0 0 4 0:28 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
2 Nicaragua U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
3 Barbados U17 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Belize U17 4 1 0 3 10:8 3
5 Dominica U17 4 0 0 4 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Puerto Rico U17 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Saint Martin U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Bonaire U17 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U17 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Guatemala U17 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Antigua and Barbuda U17 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 31:0 9
2 Cuba U17 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U17 3 1 0 2 10:12 3
4 United States Virgin Islands U17 3 0 0 3 5:37 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U17 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Dominican Republic U17 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Aruba U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Grenada U17 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Jamaica U17 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Saint Lucia U17 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Cayman Islands U17 3 0 0 3 1:23 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)