Sport Picks

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Haiti U21 vs Mexico U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Aguirre E.
35' Event
Damus R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Haiti U21
20%
Draws
57%
Mexico U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico U21 lately — more wins on the board than Haiti U21.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Haiti U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haiti U21 Mexico U21
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
Haiti U21 vs Mexico U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haiti U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Damus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haiti U21 10 / 100
Mexico U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haiti U21 Mexico U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Haiti U21 found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (15 games).

Haiti U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Haiti U21 VS Mexico U21
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Haiti U21

(Home)
31 Jul
Haiti U21
0 : 3
Honduras U21
29 Jul
Colombia U21
3 : 1
Haiti U21
26 Jul
Haiti U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
23 Jul
Venezuela U21
2 : 0
Haiti U21
21 Jul
El Salvador U21
0 : 1
Haiti U21
Page 1 of 3

Mexico U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U21 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Honduras U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Costa Rica U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Trinidad & Tobago U21 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela U21 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Haiti U21 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 El Salvador U21 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Mexico U21 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 (Play Offs)