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Haiti vs New Zealand

World World

Friendly International Chase Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Providence R.
42'
Rufer A.
46'
Sub
Singh S. In: McCowatt C.
Out: Singh S.

AI Match Summary

Haiti in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Haiti
17%
Draws
13%
New Zealand
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Haiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haiti lately — more wins on the board than New Zealand.
  • Model gives Haiti a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Haiti Clean Sheet 68%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haiti New Zealand
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Friendly International
Haiti vs New Zealand
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haiti Compare

Top Goalscorer Providence R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

New Zealand Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haiti 77 / 100
New Zealand 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haiti New Zealand

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haiti found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: New Zealand conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: New Zealand registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haiti VS New Zealand
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%