Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Deedson L.
Assist: Casimir J.
31'
31'
Delcroix H.
32'
32'
Sub
Pierrot F. In: Nazon D.
Out: Pierrot F.
AI Match Summary
Haiti in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haiti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Haiti have won more games recently than Nicaragua.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Haiti have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Haiti Clean Sheet 68%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Haiti | Nicaragua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.33 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2025 World Championship
Haiti vs Nicaragua
2:0
Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Nicaragua vs Haiti
0:3
Jun 8, 2021 World Championship
Haiti vs Nicaragua
1:0
Jun 20, 2019 Gold Cup
Nicaragua vs Haiti
0:2
Nov 18, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs Haiti
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Haiti Compare
Top Goalscorer Deedson L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Providence R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Nicaragua Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Haiti 41 / 100
Nicaragua 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Haiti Nicaragua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Haiti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Haiti scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Nicaragua let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Nicaragua's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Haiti VS Nicaragua
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Haiti
(Home) 25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2 Trinidad & Tobago
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2 Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1 Scotland
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2 Peru
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25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2 Trinidad & Tobago
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1 Scotland
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2 Peru
03 Jun
Haiti
4 : 0 New Zealand
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1 Iceland
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Nicaragua
(Away) 25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2 Nicaragua
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0 Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0 Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1 Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0 Nicaragua
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25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2 Nicaragua
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0 Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0 Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1 Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0 Nicaragua
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Suriname | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Guatemala | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trinidad & Tobago | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Bermuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:23 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 2 | Honduras | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Nicaragua | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
