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Haiti vs Trinidad & Tobago - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Sabina Park, Kingston
Haiti Logo

Haiti

3 - 2
FT
Trinidad & Tobago Logo

Trinidad & Tobago

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Picault F.
Assist: Isidor W.
31' Event
Frederick W.
Assist: Cardines R.
46'
Sub
Trimmingham J. In: Joseph J.
Out: Trimmingham J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Haiti in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Haiti
15%
Draws
8%
Trinidad & Tobago
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haiti lately — more wins on the board than Trinidad & Tobago.
  • Model gives Haiti a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Haiti have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Haiti Clean Sheet 19%
Trinidad & Tobago Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haiti Trinidad & Tobago
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.3 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Haiti vs Trinidad & Tobago
3:2
Jun 19, 2025 Gold Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Haiti
1:1
Jan 8, 2017 Caribbean Cup
Haiti vs Trinidad & Tobago
4:3
Jan 8, 2016 Copa América
Trinidad & Tobago vs Haiti
0:1
Jul 12, 2013 Gold Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Haiti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haiti Compare

Top Goalscorer Picault F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Metusala G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Trinidad & Tobago Compare

Top Goalscorer Frederick W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haiti 76 / 100
Trinidad & Tobago 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haiti Trinidad & Tobago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haiti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trinidad & Tobago let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Haiti found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Haiti remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Haiti VS Trinidad & Tobago
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Haiti

(Home)
05 Oct
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Haiti
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
Page 1 of 6

Trinidad & Tobago

(Away)
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1
Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)