Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Nations League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. USA have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Haiti have conceded 1.26 and scored 2.26. Head-to-head, Haiti have won 0 to USA's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 22, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.00, favoring USA. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to USA lately — more wins on the board than Haiti.
- Win probability leans USA's way, sitting at 80%.
- USA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Haiti | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.26 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Haiti found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
USA let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Haiti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
