Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hajduk Split vs Osijek

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Poljud, Split
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Brruti E.
Assist: Melnjak D.
34'
Mustafic S.
36'
Sub
Jakupovic A. In: Heister M.
Out: Jakupovic A.

AI Match Summary

The HNL game between Hajduk Split and Osijek finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hajduk Split
20%
Draws
36%
Osijek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hajduk Split come out ahead of Osijek on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hajduk Split a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hajduk Split have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 11%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split Osijek
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
4:0
Apr 21, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Hajduk Split
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Hajduk Split
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Brruti E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Livaja M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Osijek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 83 / 100
Osijek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split Osijek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajduk Split's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Hajduk Split remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Osijek conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Osijek
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
23 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Osijek
20 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
16 Aug
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Hajduk Split
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
09 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2
Istra 1961
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Osijek

(Away)
23 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Osijek
15 Aug
Osijek
1 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
08 Aug
Rudes
1 : 6
Osijek
01 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 2
Osijek
25 Jul
Osijek
1 : 3
Rizespor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Osijek 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Varazdin 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
4 Hajduk Split 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
5 Rijeka 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
6 Lok. Zagreb 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
7 Istra 1961 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
8 Slaven Belupo 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
9 Rudes 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
10 HNK Gorica 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)