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Hajduk Split vs Osijek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Poljud, Split
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Brruti E.
Assist: Melnjak D.
34'
Mustafic S.
36'
Sub
Jakupovic A. In: Heister M.
Out: Jakupovic A.

AI Match Summary

The HNL game between Hajduk Split and Osijek finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hajduk Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hajduk Split
30%
Draws
23%
Osijek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hajduk Split come out ahead of Osijek on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hajduk Split a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hajduk Split have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 20%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajduk Split Osijek
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
4:0
Apr 21, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Hajduk Split
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Hajduk Split
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Brruti E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Livaja M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Osijek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 42 / 100
Osijek 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajduk Split Osijek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajduk Split's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hajduk Split stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Osijek conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Osijek
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)
15 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Ajax
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
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Osijek

(Away)
17 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
10 Oct
Osijek
1 : 3
Istra 1961
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
2 Varazdin 9 5 3 1 14:7 18
3 Osijek 10 5 2 3 19:15 17
4 Rijeka 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
5 Din. Zagreb 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
6 Istra 1961 10 3 3 4 17:16 12
7 Lok. Zagreb 10 3 1 6 13:17 10
8 Slaven Belupo 9 3 1 5 11:17 10
9 Rudes 10 2 1 7 13:27 7
10 HNK Gorica 10 1 3 6 7:15 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)