Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League Stadion Poljud, Split

Hajduk Split

2 - 0

Pafos

Our Tip

Match Events

Pajaziti A.

55'

Ioannou N.

56'

Sego M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Hajduk Split

15%

Draws

34%

Pafos

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Hajduk Split come out ahead of Pafos on wins alone.
Hajduk Split are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Hajduk Split have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Hajduk Split, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 68%

Pafos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hajduk Split	Pafos
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	21	13
Draws	5	9
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	2.23	1.73
Goals Conceded	0.94	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Europa League

Pafos vs Hajduk Split

4:0

Jul 23, 2026 Europa League

Hajduk Split vs Pafos

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Sego M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Melnjak D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Pafos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajduk Split 77 / 100

Pafos 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hajduk Split Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajduk Split scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Hajduk Split stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pafos has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hajduk Split VS Pafos

2.88 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 50%

88% Over 2.5 38%

75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

(Home)

13 Sept

Hajduk Split

1 : 0

Slaven Belupo

08 Sept

Vardarac Vardaroc

0 : 2

Hajduk Split

06 Sept

Rudes

0 : 4

Hajduk Split

31 Aug

Hajduk Split

2 : 0

Lok. Zagreb

27 Aug

Rakow Czestochowa

2 : 3

Hajduk Split

Page 1 of 7

Pafos

(Away)

18 Sept

Pafos

0 : 2

AEL Limassol

13 Sept

AEK Larnaca

0 : 1

Pafos

07 Sept

Pafos

0 : 0

Ol. Nicosia

03 Sept

Omonia

0 : 1

Pafos

30 Aug

Karmiotissa

0 : 3

Pafos

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente -

TBD -

Vojvodina 1

Ferencvaros 5

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 3

Zilina 2

TBD -

Pafos -

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Universitatea Cluj 0

TBD -

PAOK -

Hammarby -

TBD -

Anderlecht -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Besiktas -

TBD -

Midtjylland -

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen -

TBD -

Benfica -

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 1

Aluminij 0

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Qarabag Agdam 6

Vestri 0

CSKA Sofia 5

Derry City 3

Quarter-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente 3

Ferencvaros 4

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 2

Pafos 4

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 2

PAOK 5

Hammarby 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso 1

Hradec Kralove 4

Besiktas 3

Midtjylland 0

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen 2

Benfica 6

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 6

Qarabag Agdam 0

CSKA Sofia 1

Semi-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Ferencvaros 2

Gornik Zabrze 1

KuPS 2

Univ. Craiova 3

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps 1

Omonia 2

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers 4

KF Egnatia 6

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia 3

Rangers 2

Larne 1

Iberia 1999 2

Mjallby -

TBD -

Pafos 3

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

PAOK 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan 6

Klaksvik 0

Thun 5

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Hradec Kralove 0

Besiktas 2

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

Benfica 7

Hearts 2

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

CSKA Sofia 4

Final

Trabzonspor 0

Ferencvaros 5

Univ. Craiova 1

Ararat-Armenia 2

St. Truiden 3

Omonia 4

Crvena zvezda 4

Plzen 5

KF Egnatia 1

Lillestrom 2

Jagiellonia 6

Iberia 1999 1

Mjallby 0

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty 0

Anderlecht 6

Lech Poznan 9

Thun 2

Besiktas 3

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

Benfica 6

Aarhus 2

OFI Crete 5

CSKA Sofia 0

Hajduk Split vs Pafos

Europe

Hajduk Split

Pafos

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Hajduk Split Compare

Pafos Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Hajduk Split

Pafos

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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