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Stadium Background

Hajer vs Al Najma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Hajer Club Stadium, Al-Hofuf
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Zaidi W.
Assist: Al Ibrahim K.
42' Event
Amoah A.
45'
Derbal A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Hajer and Al Najma finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hajer
35%
Draws
49%
Al Najma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Hajer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Najma's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Hajer Clean Sheet 21%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hajer Al Najma
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 Division 1
Hajer vs Al Najma
2:4
Mar 11, 2024 Division 1
Al Najma vs Hajer
1:1
Oct 25, 2023 Division 1
Hajer vs Al Najma
0:4
Mar 25, 2011 Division 1
Al Najma vs Hajer
1:2
Dec 8, 2010 Division 1
Hajer vs Al Najma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hajer Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaidi W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amoah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Novais J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Souleymane C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hajer 16 / 100
Al Najma 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hajer Al Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Najma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hajer found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Al Najma conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hajer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hajer VS Al Najma
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hajer

(Home)
20 Oct
Hajer
2 : 4
Al Najma
20 Sept
Al Jeel
0 : 0
Hajer
13 Sept
Hajer
0 : 1
Al Jabalain
08 Sept
Al Zulfi
0 : 0
Hajer
02 Sept
Hajer
1 : 1
Al Anwar
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Al Najma

(Away)
20 Oct
Hajer
2 : 4
Al Najma
12 Oct
Al Najma
3 : 0
Damac
19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1
Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 7 6 1 0 16:3 19
2 Al Jabalain 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Al Zulfi 8 3 5 0 10:2 14
4 Al Najma 8 3 4 1 14:9 13
5 Al Wehda 8 2 6 0 16:9 12
6 Al Adalah 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
7 Damac 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
8 Al Anwar 8 2 5 1 7:5 11
9 Al Saqer 8 2 4 2 7:6 10
10 Al Raed 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
11 Al Taee 8 3 1 4 11:19 10
12 Al Orubah 7 1 5 1 5:5 8
13 Jeddah Club 8 2 2 4 6:9 8
14 Al Okhdood 8 1 4 3 10:16 7
15 Al Jandal 7 1 3 3 10:10 6
16 Hajer 7 1 3 3 6:11 6
17 Al Bukiryah 8 0 3 5 5:14 3
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)