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Stadium Background

Haka vs KaPa

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Tehtaan Kenttä, Valkeakoski
Haka Logo

Haka

3 - 1
FT
KaPa Logo

KaPa

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Almen A.
Assist: Lika Y.
21' Event
Mahlamaki M.
Assist: Laaksonen O.
34'
Lahdensuo T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Haka in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Haka
30%
Draws
29%
KaPa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Haka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haka lately — more wins on the board than KaPa.
  • Model gives Haka a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Haka Clean Sheet 20%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haka KaPa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs KaPa
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs KaPa
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KaPa vs Haka
1:1
Apr 17, 2013 Suomen Cup
Haka vs KaPa
4:0
Oct 16, 2004 Suomen Cup
KaPa vs Haka
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haka Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahlamaki M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whyte O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Almen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haka 67 / 100
KaPa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haka KaPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haka's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

KaPa let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Haka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haka VS KaPa
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Haka

(Home)
18 Sept
Haka
2 : 0
Klubi 04
12 Sept
Ekenas IF
2 : 2
Haka
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
28 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
Haka
21 Aug
Haka
2 : 0
SJK Akatemia
Page 1 of 6

KaPa

(Away)
19 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
KaPa
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
20 Aug
KaPa
1 : 3
Jippo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 24 18 3 3 44:21 57
2 PK-35 24 14 6 4 41:18 48
3 Haka 24 13 5 6 45:26 44
4 Jippo 24 11 7 6 32:21 40
5 JaPS 24 11 2 11 22:34 35
6 Ekenas IF 24 8 4 12 28:36 28
7 Mikkelin 24 8 4 12 26:34 28
8 KaPa 24 5 6 13 27:43 21
9 Klubi 04 24 4 8 12 28:36 20
10 SJK Akatemia 24 2 7 15 16:40 13
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)