Sport Picks

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Haka vs KaPa

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Tehtaan Kenttä, Valkeakoski
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haka host KaPa in the Ykkosliiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Haka have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against KaPa's 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Haka slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.19) point toward Haka. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Haka
22%
Draws
18%
KaPa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Haka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haka lately — more wins on the board than KaPa.
  • Model gives Haka a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Haka Clean Sheet 20%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haka KaPa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs KaPa
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KaPa vs Haka
1:1
Apr 17, 2013 Suomen Cup
Haka vs KaPa
4:0
Oct 16, 2004 Suomen Cup
KaPa vs Haka
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haka 58 / 100
KaPa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haka KaPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haka's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

KaPa let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Haka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haka VS KaPa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Haka

(Home)
17 Jul
Klubi 04
2 : 2
Haka
11 Jul
Haka
3 : 1
Ekenas IF
05 Jul
Mikkelin
2 : 1
Haka
27 Jun
Haka
0 : 2
KTP
15 Jun
SJK Akatemia
0 : 2
Haka
Page 1 of 6

KaPa

(Away)
17 Jul
KaPa
2 : 2
SJK Akatemia
10 Jul
PK-35
3 : 1
KaPa
28 Jun
KaPa
3 : 1
JaPS
13 Jun
Jippo
3 : 0
KaPa
05 Jun
KaPa
1 : 2
KTP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KTP14102225:1432
2PK-351493224:830
3Jippo1576222:1127
4Haka1574426:1725
5JaPS1461713:2319
6Mikkelin1552814:1917
7KaPa1444617:2216
8Ekenas IF1451821:2916
9Klubi 041416712:189
10SJK Akatemia151597:208
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)