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Haka vs TPV

World World

Club Friendly
3 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haka play TPV in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Haka averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1 conceded. TPV averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Haka won 4, TPV won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Haka and 1.06 for TPV. This points to a Haka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Haka
15%
Draws
31%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Haka picked up more points recently compared to TPV.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Haka Clean Sheet 22%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haka TPV
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Haka vs TPV
3:1
Aug 15, 2019 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs TPV
3:1
Jun 19, 2019 Ykkosliiga
TPV vs Haka
1:3
Apr 27, 2019 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs TPV
1:0
Jan 12, 2019 Club Friendly
TPV vs Haka
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haka 53 / 100
TPV 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haka TPV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Haka & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Haka attacking → ← attacking TPV

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haka scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

TPV let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Haka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TPV lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 39
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88