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Halaba Ketema FC vs Bahir Dar Kenema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Halaba Ketema FC host Bahir Dar Kenema in the Premier League. Halaba Ketema FC are expected to control this from the start. Bahir Dar Kenema have shipped 0.68 goals a game lately, while Halaba Ketema FC have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.8. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Halaba Ketema FC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Halaba Ketema FC
25%
Draws
35%
Bahir Dar Kenema
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Halaba Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bahir Dar Kenema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Halaba Ketema FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Halaba Ketema FC Clean Sheet 20%
Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halaba Ketema FC Bahir Dar Kenema
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 17
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.8 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halaba Ketema FC 49 / 100
Bahir Dar Kenema 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halaba Ketema FC Bahir Dar Kenema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halaba Ketema FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahir Dar Kenema has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Bahir Dar Kenema has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Halaba Ketema FC VS Bahir Dar Kenema
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Halaba Ketema FC

(Home)

Bahir Dar Kenema

(Away)
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2
Bahir Dar Kenema
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1
Sidama Bunna
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Georges 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ethio Electric S.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Welayta Dicha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Adama City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Fasil Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Welwalo Adigrat 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Halaba Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)