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Halaba Ketema FC vs Welwalo Adigrat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Gugsa S.
90' Event
Damtew C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Halaba Ketema FC
25%
Draws
35%
Welwalo Adigrat
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Halaba Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Welwalo Adigrat lately — more wins on the board than Halaba Ketema FC.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Halaba Ketema FC Clean Sheet 24%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halaba Ketema FC Welwalo Adigrat
Matches Played 1 33
Wins 0 12
Draws 1 15
Losses 0 6
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League
Halaba Ketema FC vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halaba Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gugsa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Welwalo Adigrat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halaba Ketema FC 37 / 100
Welwalo Adigrat 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halaba Ketema FC Welwalo Adigrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welwalo Adigrat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halaba Ketema FC's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Welwalo Adigrat conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Halaba Ketema FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Halaba Ketema FC VS Welwalo Adigrat
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Halaba Ketema FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat

Welwalo Adigrat

(Away)
09 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 St. Georges 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Welayta Dicha 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Fasil Kenema 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)