Sport Picks
Halcones de Zapopan vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 
Match Events
19'
19'
Frausto A.
27'
27'
Juarez M.
45'
45'
Valencia D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A game between Halcones de Zapopan and Gavilanes de Matamoros finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Halcones de Zapopan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Halcones de Zapopan's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Gavilanes de Matamoros have produced (1.25).
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Halcones de Zapopan have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Halcones de Zapopan Clean Sheet 20%
Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Halcones de Zapopan | Gavilanes de Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Halcones de Zapopan
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
4:3
Mar 14, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Halcones de Zapopan
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Halcones de Zapopan Compare
Top Goalscorer Juarez M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Frausto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Gavilanes de Matamoros Compare
Top Goalscorer Villanueva V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Perez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Halcones de Zapopan 32 / 100
Gavilanes de Matamoros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Halcones de Zapopan Gavilanes de Matamoros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Halcones de Zapopan scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Gavilanes de Matamoros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Recent resilience: Halcones de Zapopan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Halcones de Zapopan VS Gavilanes de Matamoros
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Halcones de Zapopan
(Home) 03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
25 Apr
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 2 Halcones de Zapopan
22 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Racing de Veracruz
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
22 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Racing de Veracruz
15 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
2 : 0 Tigres de Alica
28 Mar
Halcones de Zapopan
4 : 0 Atletico Hidalgo
21 Mar
Halcones de Zapopan
1 : 1 Cordobes FC
Page 1 of 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
(Away) 12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0 Zacatepec
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0 Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3 Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 3 Gavilanes de Matamoros
15 Mar
Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 6
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0 Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3 Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 3 Gavilanes de Matamoros
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Feb
Correcaminos 2
1 : 0 Gavilanes de Matamoros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
