Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Carty C.
Assist: Morgan-Smith A.
30'
30'
Oguntolu J.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Morgan-Smith A.
Assist: Tollitt B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 6-2. This leg finished 6-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Halifax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Derby U21 haven't matched Halifax's recent run of results.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Halifax taking it.
- Halifax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Halifax, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Halifax Clean Sheet 19%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Halifax | Derby U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Halifax vs Derby U21
6:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Halifax Compare
Top Goalscorer Morgan-Smith A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Carty C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Derby U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Eames O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Halifax 40 / 100
Derby U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Halifax Derby U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Halifax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Halifax scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
Derby U21 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Halifax remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Halifax VS Derby U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Halifax
(Home) 27 Oct
Halifax
2 : 3 Barrow
24 Oct
Southend
2 : 2 Halifax
17 Oct
Halifax
3 : 2 South Shields
13 Oct
Halifax
4 : 2 Stoke City U21
10 Oct
Halifax
4 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Halifax
2 : 3 Barrow
17 Oct
Halifax
3 : 2 South Shields
13 Oct
Halifax
4 : 2 Stoke City U21
10 Oct
Halifax
4 : 1 Gateshead
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1 Boston United
Page 1 of 3
Derby U21
(Away) 26 Oct
Derby U21
3 : 4 Norwich U21
19 Oct
Birmingham U21
0 : 4 Derby U21
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2 Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2 Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Birmingham U21
0 : 4 Derby U21
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2 Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2 Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 7 | Nottingham U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:14 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 6 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Woking | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 8 | Boston United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
