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Halifax vs Exeter

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026 The Shay, Halifax
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Andrew D.
Assist: Cole R.
45' Event
Wareham J.
62'
Sub
McDonald K. In: Turns E.
Out: McDonald K.

AI Match Summary

Exeter in this FA Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Halifax
30%
Draws
23%
Exeter
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Halifax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Exeter haven't matched Halifax's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Halifax taking it.
  • Halifax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Exeter have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Halifax Clean Sheet 20%
Exeter Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Exeter
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.89 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Halifax vs Exeter
0:2
Mar 29, 2008 National League
Exeter vs Halifax
1:0
Dec 8, 2007 National League
Halifax vs Exeter
0:3
Mar 10, 2007 National League
Halifax vs Exeter
2:1
Oct 7, 2006 National League
Exeter vs Halifax
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halifax Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Exeter Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrew D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wareham J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 58 / 100
Exeter 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Exeter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halifax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halifax's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Exeter conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Halifax went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Exeter
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0
Hornchurch
08 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0
Wolves U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Exeter

(Away)
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Exeter
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
08 Sept
Exeter
2 : 0
Tottenham U21
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Walsall
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
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Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
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Blackburn -
Charlton -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
TBD -
TBD -
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Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
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QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
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Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
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Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
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TBD -
Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
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Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
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Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1