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Halifax vs Leeds U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 The Shay, Halifax
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Devonport O.
Assist: Turner-Cooke J.
52' Event
Devonport O.
Assist: Turner-Cooke J.
57'
Sub
Turner-Cooke J. In: Hugill W.
Out: Turner-Cooke J.

AI Match Summary

Halifax in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Halifax
30%
Draws
39%
Leeds U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leeds U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Halifax lately — more wins on the board than Leeds U21.
  • Halifax are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Halifax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Halifax Clean Sheet 20%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Leeds U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.86 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 National League Cup
Halifax vs Leeds U21
3:0
Dec 3, 2024 National League Cup
Halifax vs Leeds U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halifax Compare

Top Goalscorer Devonport O.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leeds U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 36 / 100
Leeds U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Leeds U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Halifax scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Leeds U21 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Halifax stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Leeds U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
03 Oct
Solihull Moors
0 : 2
Halifax
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Halifax
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Leeds U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0
Leeds U21
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4
Leeds U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3
Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)