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Hallescher vs Erfurt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost Leuna Chemie Stadion, Halle
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Stierlin N.
90' Event
Claxton N.
90'
Claxton N.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Hallescher and Erfurt finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Hallescher
30%
Draws
32%
Erfurt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hallescher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Erfurt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hallescher's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hallescher have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hallescher Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hallescher Erfurt
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.07 2.82
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Hallescher vs Erfurt
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Hallescher vs Erfurt
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Hallescher
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Hallescher vs Erfurt
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Hallescher
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hallescher Compare

Top Goalscorer Stierlin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Erfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Claxton N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hallescher 40 / 100
Erfurt 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hallescher Erfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hallescher scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Hallescher went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Erfurt has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hallescher VS Erfurt
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hallescher

(Home)
26 Sept
Hallescher
3 : 2
BFC Preussen
18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3
Hallescher
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1
Hallescher
02 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
SV Tasmania Berlin
Page 1 of 6

Erfurt

(Away)
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4
Erfurt
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2
Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Jena 12 7 1 4 21:11 22
5 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
6 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
7 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 12 4 1 7 21:25 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 12 2 5 5 15:18 11
14 Hertha Berlin II 12 2 4 6 10:22 10
15 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)