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Halmstad vs Malmo FF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Örjans Vall, Halmstad
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Halmstad host Malmo FF in the Allsvenskan. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Halmstad at 0.86 goals for, 1.97 against; Malmo FF at 1.81 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Malmo FF slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring Malmo FF. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Halmstad
15%
Draws
53%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Halmstad haven't matched Malmo FF's recent run of results.
  • Malmo FF are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Malmo FF have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Halmstad Clean Sheet 13%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halmstad Malmo FF
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Halmstad
5:2
Mar 8, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs Halmstad
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Allsvenskan
Halmstad vs Malmo FF
0:4
May 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Halmstad
3:0
Aug 10, 2024 Allsvenskan
Halmstad vs Malmo FF
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halmstad 14 / 100
Malmo FF 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halmstad Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Malmo FF let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Halmstad scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Halmstad remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Halmstad VS Malmo FF
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Halmstad

(Home)
12 Oct
Elfsborg
4 : 0
Halmstad
03 Oct
Halmstad
3 : 2
Oster
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
12 Sept
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1
Halmstad
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
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Malmo FF

(Away)
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
03 Oct
Malmo FF
3 : 0
Nordsjaelland
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 23 17 3 3 53:28 54
2 Djurgarden 24 15 2 7 50:21 47
3 Hammarby 23 13 4 6 49:21 43
4 Elfsborg 23 11 7 5 35:22 40
5 Hacken 23 10 9 4 42:30 39
6 Malmo FF 23 11 3 9 38:33 36
7 Vasteras SK 23 10 5 8 34:36 35
8 IFK Goteborg 23 10 5 8 32:41 35
9 AIK 23 9 6 8 36:40 33
10 GAIS 23 8 6 9 28:21 30
11 Brommapojkarna 24 8 6 10 36:43 30
12 Mjallby 23 5 8 10 28:39 23
13 Degerfors 23 5 5 13 20:35 20
14 Kalmar 23 5 4 14 21:37 19
15 Orgryte 23 3 6 14 25:52 15
16 Halmstad 23 3 5 15 16:44 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)