Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ham-Kam vs Aalesund

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Benjamin D.
24'
Sub
Aukland P. In: Engqvist E.
Out: Aukland P.
28'
Haram S.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Ham-Kam and Aalesund finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ham-Kam
35%
Draws
30%
Aalesund
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ham-Kam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ham-Kam's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 20%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam Aalesund
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.61 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Aalesund
1:1
May 29, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Ham-Kam
2:2
May 20, 2025 NM Cup
Aalesund vs Ham-Kam
3:2
Aug 13, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Ham-Kam
0:2
Jul 7, 2023 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Aalesund
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjone M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Aalesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Osenbroch E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam 67 / 100
Aalesund 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam Aalesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ham-Kam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ham-Kam found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Ham-Kam remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ham-Kam VS Aalesund
1.13 Goals Scored 3.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ham-Kam

(Home)
23 Aug
Trysil
0 : 5
Ham-Kam
16 Aug
Brann
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
09 Aug
Ham-Kam
1 : 1
Aalesund
31 Jul
Valerenga
0 : 3
Ham-Kam
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund

(Away)
22 Aug
Langevag
0 : 13
Aalesund
16 Aug
Aalesund
5 : 5
Valerenga
09 Aug
Ham-Kam
1 : 1
Aalesund
02 Aug
Aalesund
2 : 6
Tromso
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1
Viking
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 43:12 41
2 Viking 17 13 1 3 40:17 40
3 Tromso 17 10 4 3 34:20 34
4 Molde 17 8 3 6 32:26 27
5 Lillestrom 17 8 2 7 23:21 26
6 Brann 17 8 1 8 36:27 25
7 Rosenborg 17 7 3 7 25:22 24
8 Fredrikstad 17 7 2 8 18:27 23
9 Sarpsborg 08 17 6 4 7 20:23 22
10 Ham-Kam 17 6 4 7 24:30 22
11 Valerenga 17 6 3 8 28:34 21
12 KFUM Oslo 17 5 4 8 19:27 19
13 Sandefjord 17 5 3 9 15:23 18
14 Kristiansund 17 4 3 10 15:27 15
15 Aalesund 17 2 9 6 27:41 15
16 Start 17 2 4 11 16:38 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)