Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Potur A.
47'
Hoffmann I.
61'
Sub
Felix Va In: Arierhi K.
Out: Felix Va

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Ham-Kam and Lillestrom finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ham-Kam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ham-Kam
40%
Draws
29%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ham-Kam haven't matched Lillestrom's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 20%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam Lillestrom
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 NM Cup
Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom
0:2
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom
5:0
Apr 28, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Potur A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam 32 / 100
Lillestrom 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Lillestrom conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ham-Kam stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ham-Kam VS Lillestrom
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ham-Kam

(Home)
31 Jul
Valerenga
0 : 3
Ham-Kam
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom

(Away)
31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Lillestrom
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt16122241:1138
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1581622:1825
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Ham-Kam1563623:2621
8Valerenga1562722:2720
9Brann1561830:2519
10Rosenborg1453619:1818
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)