Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ham-Kam W vs Stabaek W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2025 Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Natvik I.
29' Event
Natvik I.
68' Event
Hogevold A.

AI Match Summary

Stabaek W in this Norway Cup Women 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ham-Kam W
15%
Draws
46%
Stabaek W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stabaek W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ham-Kam W haven't matched Stabaek W's recent run of results.
  • Stabaek W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Stabaek W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stabaek W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ham-Kam W Clean Sheet 20%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam W Stabaek W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 19
Draws 1 4
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.8 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Stabaek W vs Ham-Kam W
7:2
May 7, 2025 Norway Cup Women
Ham-Kam W vs Stabaek W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ham-Kam W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Stabaek W Compare

Top Goalscorer Natvik I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hogevold A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam W 10 / 100
Stabaek W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam W Stabaek W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ham-Kam W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Stabaek W conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ham-Kam W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ham-Kam W VS Stabaek W
2 Goals Scored 2.13
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ham-Kam W

(Home)
08 Sept
Kongsvinger W
0 : 3
Ham-Kam W
12 May
Ham-Kam W
1 : 8
Valerenga W
22 Apr
Storhamar Fotball W
0 : 3
Ham-Kam W
30 Jan
Stabaek W
7 : 2
Ham-Kam W
18 Oct
Asane W
4 : 0
Ham-Kam W
Page 1 of 6

Stabaek W

(Away)
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2
Stabaek W
13 Sept
Stabaek W
5 : 1
LSK Kvinner W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1
Stabaek W
26 Jul
Rosengard W
1 : 0
Stabaek W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjornevatn IL W 0
Tromso W 3
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt W -
Tynset W 1
Ham-Kam W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Alta W 3
Porsanger W 0
TBD -
Lyn W -
Arendal W 0
Sandefjord W 3
TBD -
Valerenga W -
Pors W 4
Start W 3
Lillestrom W 3
Odds BK W 4
Grimstad W 0
Viking W 1
TBD -
Roa W -
Fana W 1
Arna-Bjornar W 3
Sogndal W 1
Fyllingsdalen W 3
Lyngbo W 5
Asane W 3
TBD -
Brann W -
Ranheim W 4
Tiller W 2
Rana FK W 0
Steinkjer W 3
Mjolner W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Raufoss W 9
Kongsvinger W 0
KFUM Oslo W 0
Sarpsborg 08 W 4
Krokelvdalen W 0
Medkila W 5
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Klepp W 1
Haugesund W 0
Sola W 0
Bryne W 3
Grei W 2
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
TBD -
Kolbotn W -
Kristiansund W 1
Molde W 2
Herd W 0
Aalesund W 8
Stromsgodset W 5
Frigg W 1
TBD -
Honefoss W -
1/16-finals
Tromso W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 0
Ham-Kam W 0
Stabaek W 3
Alta W 0
Lyn W 8
Sandefjord W 1
Valerenga W 7
Pors W 0
Odds BK W 1
Viking W 0
Roa W 1
Arna-Bjornar W 3
Fyllingsdalen W 2
Lyngbo W 0
Brann W 5
Ranheim W 2
Steinkjer W 1
Kil/Hemne W 0
Rosenborg W 1
Raufoss W 1
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Medkila W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Klepp W 1
Bryne W 3
Grei W 0
Kolbotn W 3
Molde W 0
Aalesund W 8
Stromsgodset W 1
Honefoss W 6
1/8-finals
Tromso W 1
Stabaek W 2
Lyn W 0
Valerenga W 5
Odds BK W 0
Roa W 1
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Brann W 4
Ranheim W 0
Rosenborg W 12
Raufoss W 0
LSK Kvinner W 5
Bryne W 2
Kolbotn W 0
Aalesund W 2
Honefoss W 3
Quarter-finals
Stabaek W 1
Valerenga W 2
Roa W 0
Brann W 3
Rosenborg W 2
LSK Kvinner W 0
Bryne W 2
Honefoss W 3
Semi-finals
Valerenga W 2
Brann W 1
Rosenborg W 3
Honefoss W 0
Final
Valerenga W 2
Rosenborg W 0