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Hamam-Sousse vs Rades

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Hamam-Sousse Logo

Hamam-Sousse

0 - 1
FT
Rades Logo

Rades

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Letaief I.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rades in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Hamam-Sousse
20%
Draws
70%
Rades
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hamam-Sousse lately — more wins on the board than Rades.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hamam-Sousse taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 20%
Rades Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamam-Sousse Rades
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 2
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.42 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Rades
0:1
Dec 29, 2024 Ligue 2
Rades vs Hamam-Sousse
2:6
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Rades
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Ligue 2
Rades vs Hamam-Sousse
4:3
Apr 3, 2021 Ligue 2
Rades vs Hamam-Sousse
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamam-Sousse 42 / 100
Rades 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamam-Sousse Rades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rades has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hamam-Sousse's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Solid form: Hamam-Sousse remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamam-Sousse VS Rades
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamam-Sousse

(Home)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 8

Rades

(Away)
08 Feb
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Rades
24 May
Rades
1 : 1
Moknine
17 May
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 1
Rades
10 May
Rades
1 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
04 May
AS Marsa
3 : 0
Rades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)