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Hamam-Sousse vs Sfax Railways Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Lazzez H.
82' Event
Jaouachi Y.
84'
Masmoudi M. H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Hamam-Sousse
20%
Draws
74%
Sfax Railways
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sfax Railways

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sfax Railways lately — more wins on the board than Hamam-Sousse.
  • Model gives Sfax Railways a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 23%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamam-Sousse Sfax Railways
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Sfax Railways
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Hamam-Sousse
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamam-Sousse Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdallah R. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tritar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sfax Railways Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazzez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaouachi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamam-Sousse 10 / 100
Sfax Railways 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamam-Sousse Sfax Railways

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hamam-Sousse scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sfax Railways has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Hamam-Sousse has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamam-Sousse VS Sfax Railways
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamam-Sousse

(Home)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 6

Sfax Railways

(Away)
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2
Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2
Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)