Sport Picks
Hamburger II vs St. Pauli II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga North 
Match Events
11'
11'
Goguadze N.
22'
22'
Sabah H.
49'
49'
Wardius J.
AI Match Summary
St. Pauli II in this Regionalliga North matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Pauli II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamburger II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Pauli II haven't matched Hamburger II's recent run of results.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hamburger II Clean Sheet 10%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamburger II | St. Pauli II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Regionalliga North
Hamburger II vs St. Pauli II
0:3
May 10, 2026 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Hamburger II
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Regionalliga North
Hamburger II vs St. Pauli II
4:1
Apr 12, 2025 Regionalliga North
Hamburger II vs St. Pauli II
4:2
Oct 6, 2024 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Hamburger II
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamburger II Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
St. Pauli II Compare
Top Goalscorer Goguadze N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sabah H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamburger II 30 / 100
St. Pauli II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamburger II St. Pauli II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Pauli II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Pauli II has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Hamburger II scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Away concern: St. Pauli II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hamburger II VS St. Pauli II
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamburger II
(Home) 26 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3 Delmenhorst
20 Sept
Hannoverscher SC
0 : 4 Hamburger II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3 St. Pauli II
11 Sept
Weiche Flensburg 08
4 : 0 Hamburger II
05 Sept
Jeddeloh
1 : 3 Hamburger II
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3 Delmenhorst
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3 St. Pauli II
30 Aug
Hamburger II
0 : 2 Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Aug
Hamburger II
0 : 2 Eimsbutteler
16 Aug
Hamburger II
1 : 4 Drochtersen / Assel
Page 1 of 3
St. Pauli II
(Away) 26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2 Emden
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0 St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3 St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0 Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2 St. Pauli II
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0 St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3 St. Pauli II
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2 St. Pauli II
26 Aug
Schoningen
3 : 2 St. Pauli II
12 Aug
Jeddeloh
2 : 0 St. Pauli II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg 08 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 36:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Drochtersen / Assel | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 40:18 | 25 |
| 3 | Hannover II | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 26:16 | 24 |
| 4 | Schoningen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19:17 | 24 |
| 5 | Phonix Lubeck | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30:9 | 23 |
| 6 | VfB Oldenburg | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 33:17 | 22 |
| 7 | Emden | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 32:32 | 18 |
| 8 | Delmenhorst | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:20 | 16 |
| 9 | Eimsbutteler | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:33 | 14 |
| 10 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 23:27 | 13 |
| 11 | Hannoverscher SC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Lubeck | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Todesfelde | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21:38 | 11 |
| 15 | St. Pauli II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:21 | 10 |
| 16 | Hamburger II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | 10 |
| 17 | Jeddeloh | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:32 | 10 |
| 18 | Bremer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | 8 |
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)
