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Hamburger U19 vs St. Pauli U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League 2025/2026 game between Hamburger U19 and St. Pauli U19 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamburger U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Hamburger U19
15%
Draws
31%
St. Pauli U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamburger U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamburger U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hamburger U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hamburger U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hamburger U19 Clean Sheet 10%
St. Pauli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger U19 St. Pauli U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.45 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Hamburger U19
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 DFB Youth League
Hamburger U19 vs St. Pauli U19
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Hamburger U19
0:1
Sep 24, 2024 DFB Youth League
Hamburger U19 vs St. Pauli U19
3:0
Sep 4, 2024 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Hamburger U19
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger U19 83 / 100
St. Pauli U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger U19 St. Pauli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamburger U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamburger U19 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

St. Pauli U19 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Hamburger U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger U19 VS St. Pauli U19
3.38 Goals Scored 3.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger U19

(Home)
20 Sept
Hannover U19
6 : 5
Hamburger U19
12 Sept
Magdeburg U19
0 : 3
Hamburger U19
05 Sept
Hansa Rostock U19
3 : 5
Hamburger U19
29 Aug
Wehen U19
2 : 4
Hamburger U19
19 Aug
Holstein Kiel U19
0 : 2
Hamburger U19
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St. Pauli U19

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Pauli U19
3 : 2
Hansa Rostock U19
12 Sept
St. Pauli U19
1 : 3
Werder Bremen U19
30 Aug
St. Pauli U19
1 : 2
Koln U19
23 Aug
Berliner AK 07 U19
0 : 1
St. Pauli U19
15 Aug
Hansa Rostock U19
1 : 1
St. Pauli U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamburger U19 12 11 1 0 39:15 34
2 Hannover U19 12 8 2 2 33:15 26
3 Holstein Kiel U19 12 7 2 3 25:19 23
4 St. Pauli U19 12 5 1 6 22:20 16
5 Werder Bremen U19 12 2 3 7 20:31 9
6 Braunschweig U19 12 2 1 9 28:39 7
7 Blumenthaler U19 12 2 0 10 18:46 6
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig U19 12 11 0 1 48:13 33
2 Wolfsburg U19 12 11 0 1 42:11 33
3 Hansa Rostock U19 12 6 0 6 29:24 18
4 Jena U19 12 5 0 7 28:31 15
5 Viktoria Berlin U19 12 5 0 7 24:44 15
6 Hallescher U19 12 2 1 9 16:38 7
7 Erfurt U19 12 1 1 10 12:38 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Berlin U19 14 12 2 0 44:13 38
2 Cottbus U19 14 9 2 3 42:21 29
3 Berliner AK 07 U19 14 8 1 5 21:24 25
4 Hertha U19 14 8 0 6 34:27 24
5 Aue U19 14 4 1 9 21:38 13
6 Magdeburg U19 14 3 3 8 29:36 12
7 Chemnitzer U19 14 4 0 10 24:34 12
8 Dresden U19 14 3 1 10 22:44 10
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfB Stuttgart U19 12 9 2 1 43:15 29
2 Nurnberg U19 12 7 3 2 27:15 24
3 Ingolstadt U19 12 6 1 5 33:22 19
4 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 12 6 1 5 33:31 19
5 Furth U19 12 5 0 7 25:31 15
6 Regensburg U19 12 3 2 7 24:26 11
7 Kickers Offenbach U19 12 1 1 10 17:62 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern U19 12 8 1 3 32:17 25
2 Augsburg U19 12 6 3 3 27:15 21
3 Ulm U19 12 6 2 4 32:23 20
4 Freiburg U19 12 6 1 5 27:23 19
5 Munich 1860 U19 12 5 0 7 19:26 15
6 Unterhaching U19 12 3 3 6 20:32 12
7 Stuttgarter Kickers U19 12 2 2 8 20:41 8
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim U19 12 8 3 1 39:13 27
2 Heidenheim U19 12 9 0 3 30:13 27
3 Kaiserslautern U19 12 8 0 4 23:16 24
4 Darmstadt U19 12 4 2 6 26:28 14
5 Sandhausen U19 12 4 0 8 15:34 12
6 Karlsruher U19 12 3 1 8 20:28 10
7 Saarbrucken U19 12 2 2 8 14:35 8
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koln U19 12 9 2 1 29:9 29
2 Mainz U19 12 8 3 1 32:15 27
3 Viktoria Koln U19 12 5 2 5 22:16 17
4 Dusseldorf U19 12 5 2 5 17:14 17
5 Duisburg U19 12 3 4 5 14:16 13
6 Alemannia Aachen U19 12 1 5 6 11:27 8
7 Elversberg U19 12 1 2 9 13:41 5
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund U19 12 9 2 1 36:14 29
2 Bochum U19 12 9 0 3 36:17 27
3 Leverkusen U19 12 8 2 2 44:14 26
4 Wehen U19 12 5 2 5 28:28 17
5 RW Essen U19 12 3 2 7 25:27 11
6 FSV Frankfurt U19 12 2 2 8 14:30 8
7 Schott Mainz U19 12 1 0 11 8:61 3
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke U19 14 10 2 2 32:16 32
2 B. Monchengladbach U19 14 9 2 3 39:27 29
3 Paderborn U19 14 7 4 3 36:20 25
4 Oberhausen U19 14 6 4 4 23:28 22
5 Preussen Munster U19 14 5 4 5 24:19 19
6 Meppen U19 14 5 2 7 31:32 17
7 Arminia Bielefeld U19 14 2 3 9 17:33 9
8 VfL Osnabruck U19 14 1 1 12 14:41 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League B)