Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Arthur Chaves
41'
41'
Otele P.
46'
46'
Sub
Otele P. In: Philippe R.
Out: Otele P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hamburger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Augsburg lately — more wins on the board than Hamburger.
- Hamburger are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamburger | Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Augsburg
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Hamburger
1:0
Jul 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Hamburger
2:2
Jan 13, 2018 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Hamburger
1:0
Aug 19, 2017 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Augsburg
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamburger Compare
Top Goalscorer Konigsdorffer R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Augsburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Arthur Chaves
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamburger 47 / 100
Augsburg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamburger Augsburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamburger scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Augsburg conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Hamburger stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamburger VS Augsburg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamburger
(Home) 25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3 : 2 Hamburger
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 Hamburger
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
02 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 2 Hamburger
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2 Hoffenheim
04 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 1 Augsburg
14 Mar
Hamburger
1 : 1 1. FC Koln
04 Mar
Hamburger
0 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 3
Augsburg
(Away) 25 Jul
Augsburg
1 : 1 Saarbrucken
16 May
Union Berlin
4 : 0 Augsburg
09 May
Augsburg
3 : 1 B. Monchengladbach
02 May
Werder Bremen
1 : 3 Augsburg
25 Apr
Augsburg
1 : 1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Union Berlin
4 : 0 Augsburg
02 May
Werder Bremen
1 : 3 Augsburg
18 Apr
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 2 Augsburg
04 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 1 Augsburg
14 Mar
Dortmund
2 : 0 Augsburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)