Sport Picks
Hamburger vs Hoffenheim
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg 
Match Events
8'
8'
Hranac R.
18'
18'
Asllani F.
Assist: Coufal V.
32'
32'
Baumann O.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Hamburger and Hoffenheim finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoffenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoffenheim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hoffenheim carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamburger | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Hoffenheim
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Hamburger
4:1
Apr 14, 2018 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Hamburger
2:0
Nov 26, 2017 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Hoffenheim
3:0
Apr 8, 2017 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Hoffenheim
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamburger Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Asllani F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lemperle T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamburger 30 / 100
Hoffenheim 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamburger Hoffenheim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HOF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamburger's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Hoffenheim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Hamburger went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamburger VS Hoffenheim
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamburger
(Home) 01 Aug
Hamburger
1 : 2 Everton
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3 : 2 Hamburger
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 Hamburger
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
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01 Aug
Hamburger
1 : 2 Everton
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2 Hoffenheim
04 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 1 Augsburg
14 Mar
Hamburger
1 : 1 1. FC Koln
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Hoffenheim
(Away) 01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3 Hoffenheim
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0 Hoffenheim
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3 Hoffenheim
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0 Hoffenheim
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2 Hoffenheim
10 Apr
Augsburg
2 : 2 Hoffenheim
20 Mar
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hoffenheim
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
