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Hamburger W vs Bayern Munich W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger W Logo

Hamburger W

0 - 3
FT
Bayern Munich W Logo

Bayern Munich W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Imade E.
14'
Dunst B.
21'
Schulz V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bayern Munich W in this DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hamburger W
20%
Draws
52%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hamburger W haven't matched Bayern Munich W's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bayern Munich W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bayern Munich W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayern Munich W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 24
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 1
Goals Scored 1.45 3
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Bayern Munich W
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 DFB Pokal Women
Hamburger W vs Bayern Munich W
0:3
Dec 14, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Hamburger W
6:0
May 28, 2012 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Hamburger W
4:1
Apr 9, 2012 DFB Pokal Women
Bayern Munich W vs Hamburger W
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamburger W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Imade E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kett F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger W 30 / 100
Bayern Munich W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger W Bayern Munich W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Hamburger W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Hamburger W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bayern Munich W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger W VS Bayern Munich W
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger W

(Home)
26 Sept
Meppen W
1 : 2
Hamburger W
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
29 Aug
VfB Stuttgart W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
Page 1 of 6

Bayern Munich W

(Away)
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2
Manchester City W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2
Koln W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3
Bayern Munich W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
VfB Stuttgart W 0
Mainz W 2
TBD -
Union Berlin W -
Chemie Leipzig W 3
Freiburg-St. Georgen W 2
TBD -
Carl Zeiss Jena W -
Holstein Kiel W 0
Meppen W 1
TBD -
SC Sand W -
Neubrandenburg W 0
VfR Warbeyen W 8
TBD -
Koln W -
FSV Babelsberg W 1
Buntentor W 2
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
Borussia Pankow W 0
Hannover W 6
TBD -
Freiburg W -
Weinberg W 2
Greuther Furth W 3
TBD -
Hoffenheim W -
Viktoria Berlin W 2
Bochum W 1
TBD -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Gutersloh W 0
Magdeburg W 2
TBD -
Hamburger W -
Elversberg W 2
Fortuna Koln W 1
TBD -
Bayer Leverkusen W -
Saalfeld Titans W 0
Ingolstadt W 23
TBD -
1.FC Nurnberg W -
Dortmund W 3
B. Monchengladbach W 1
TBD -
Bayern Munich W -
Montabaur W 3
Siegelbach W 0
TBD -
Potsdam W -
VfL Herrenberg W 0
Kickers Offenbach W 2
TBD -
SGS Essen W -
Karlsruher W 0
Andernach W 4
TBD -
RB Leipzig W -
Solingen-Aufderhohe W 0
SC Victoria Hamburg W 6
TBD -
Werder Bremen W -
1/16-finals
Mainz W 0
Union Berlin W 2
Chemie Leipzig W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 5
Meppen W 0
SC Sand W 3
VfR Warbeyen W 0
Koln W 6
Buntentor W 0
Wolfsburg W 11
Hannover W 0
Freiburg W 4
Greuther Furth W 1
Hoffenheim W 2
Viktoria Berlin W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 3
Magdeburg W 0
Hamburger W 3
Elversberg W 0
Bayer Leverkusen W 5
Ingolstadt W 3
1.FC Nurnberg W 2
Dortmund W 0
Bayern Munich W 2
Montabaur W 0
Potsdam W 3
Kickers Offenbach W 0
SGS Essen W 7
Andernach W 0
RB Leipzig W 7
SC Victoria Hamburg W 0
Werder Bremen W 7
1/8-finals
Union Berlin W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 1
SC Sand W 3
Koln W 2
Wolfsburg W 3
Freiburg W 1
Hoffenheim W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W 6
Hamburger W 2
Bayer Leverkusen W 1
Ingolstadt W 0
Bayern Munich W 3
Potsdam W 0
SGS Essen W 1
RB Leipzig W 1
Werder Bremen W 2
Quarter-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W 4
SC Sand W 1
Wolfsburg W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 0
Hamburger W 0
Bayern Munich W 3
SGS Essen W 1
Werder Bremen W 0
Semi-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W 0
Wolfsburg W 1
Bayern Munich W 4
SGS Essen W 0
Final
Wolfsburg W 0
Bayern Munich W 4