Sport Picks
Hamburger W vs RB Leipzig W
Germany
Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg 
Match Events
14'
14'
Wrede L.
Assist: Brunnthaler M.
16'
16'
Baum L.
22'
22'
Hillebrand S.
AI Match Summary
RB Leipzig W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored RB Leipzig W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RB Leipzig W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to RB Leipzig W lately — more wins on the board than Hamburger W.
- Win probability leans RB Leipzig W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 10%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamburger W | RB Leipzig W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs RB Leipzig W
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs RB Leipzig W
1:3
Sep 25, 2025 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Hamburger W
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Hamburger W vs RB Leipzig W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamburger W Compare
Top Goalscorer Wrede L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
RB Leipzig W Compare
Top Goalscorer Baum L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Asgeirsdottir E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamburger W 10 / 100
RB Leipzig W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamburger W RB Leipzig W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RB Leipzig W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RB Leipzig W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Hamburger W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
RB Leipzig W lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamburger W VS RB Leipzig W
2 Goals Scored 3.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamburger W
(Home) 05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1 RB Leipzig W
29 Aug
VfB Stuttgart W
2 : 1 Hamburger W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1 Freiburg W
16 Aug
Werder Bremen W
5 : 1 Hamburger W
01 Aug
Hamburger W
0 : 1 Everton W
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1 RB Leipzig W
23 Aug
Hamburger W
1 : 1 Freiburg W
01 Aug
Hamburger W
0 : 1 Everton W
22 Jul
Hamburger W
6 : 0 Holstein Kiel W
18 Jul
Hamburger W
5 : 1 Odense W
Page 1 of 4
RB Leipzig W
(Away) 05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1 RB Leipzig W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0 RB Leipzig W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
15 Aug
RB Leipzig W
10 : 1 Carl Zeiss Jena W
12 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 2 Paris FC W
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1 RB Leipzig W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0 RB Leipzig W
21 Jul
Salzburg W
1 : 4 RB Leipzig W
17 May
Hoffenheim W
0 : 0 RB Leipzig W
02 May
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2 RB Leipzig W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 90:9 | 74 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 72:38 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 65:43 | 51 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 48:30 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46:36 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Koln W | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 36:37 | 37 |
| 8 | Freiburg W | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 44:46 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:48 | 28 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 33:61 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26:57 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22:63 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 22:72 | 11 |
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)
