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Hamburger W vs Union Berlin W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamburger W host Union Berlin W in the Bundesliga Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hamburger W have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Union Berlin W's 2.07 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Union Berlin W slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.56) back Union Berlin W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hamburger W
15%
Draws
48%
Union Berlin W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Berlin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Berlin W come out ahead of Hamburger W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 15%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger W Union Berlin W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.41 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Union Berlin W vs Hamburger W
2:2
May 1, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Union Berlin W
0:1
Nov 21, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Hamburger W
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Union Berlin W
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 2. Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Hamburger W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger W 35 / 100
Union Berlin W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger W Union Berlin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Berlin W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Hamburger W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Hamburger W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger W VS Union Berlin W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wolfsburg W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
26 Sept
Meppen W
1 : 2
Hamburger W
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
Page 1 of 6

Union Berlin W

(Away)
04 Oct
VfB Stuttgart W
0 : 4
Union Berlin W
27 Sept
Magdeburg W
0 : 5
Union Berlin W
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2
RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0
Union Berlin W
07 Sept
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)