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Hamilton U19 vs Molde U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

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UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 New Douglas Park, Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Nyheim G.
38'
Nyheim F.
40' Event
Black B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Hamilton U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hamilton U19
15%
Draws
64%
Molde U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molde U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molde U19 come out ahead of Hamilton U19 on wins alone.
  • Molde U19 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Molde U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamilton U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Hamilton U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Molde U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton U19 Molde U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.43 2.58
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Hamilton U19 vs Molde U19
4:2
Oct 3, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Molde U19 vs Hamilton U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Black B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meechan P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Molde U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyheim G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Myklebust A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton U19 22 / 100
Molde U19 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton U19 Molde U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde U19 let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Hamilton U19's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hamilton U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton U19 VS Molde U19
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton U19

(Home)
09 Jul
Bellshill Athletic
3 : 1
Hamilton U19
24 Oct
Hamilton U19
4 : 2
Molde U19
03 Oct
Molde U19
3 : 0
Hamilton U19
28 Nov
Hamilton U19
1 : 2
Midtjylland U19
07 Nov
Midtjylland U19
2 : 0
Hamilton U19
Page 1 of 6

Molde U19

(Away)
06 Aug
Rosenborg U19
5 : 2
Molde U19
30 Jul
Molde U19
0 : 1
Rosenborg U19
29 Apr
Molde U19
3 : 2
Moss U19
21 Mar
Molde U19
7 : 2
Rosenborg U19
15 Mar
Kongsvinger U19
1 : 3
Molde U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rukh Lviv U19 4
FK Sarajevo U19 2
Famalicao U19 2
Midtjylland U19 3
Lech Poznan U19 1
Nantes U19 2
Malmo FF U19 3
HJK U19 5
Molde U19 5
Hamilton U19 4
AZ Alkmaar U19 14
Klaipedos FM U19 0
Sparta Prague U19 1
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Pafos U19 0
Zilina U19 6
Gent U19 0
Basel U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 5
Basaksehir U19 2
Gabala U19 2
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6
Lecce U19 2
Maribor U19 1
Mainz U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 2
Ludogorets U19 1
Turan U19 0
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 6
Univ. Craiova U19 0
Partizan U19 5
Final
Rukh Lviv U19 1
Midtjylland U19 4
Nantes U19 2
HJK U19 1
Molde U19 3
AZ Alkmaar U19 6
Sparta Prague U19 6
Zilina U19 7
Basel U19 2
Din. Zagreb U19 0
Gabala U19 0
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 7
Mainz U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 2
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 4
Partizan U19 5