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Hamilton vs Alloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Blues C.
Assist: MacDonald K.
36'
Comrie A.
52'
Sub
Newbury C. In: Ryan A.
Out: Newbury C.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Hamilton and Alloa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Hamilton
15%
Draws
18%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamilton come out ahead of Alloa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hamilton a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Alloa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Alloa
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Alloa
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Hamilton
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Alloa
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Hamilton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Blues C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Alloa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 95 / 100
Alloa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Hamilton has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Alloa conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Alloa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Alloa
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
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Alloa

(Away)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)