Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton vs Annan

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamilton play Annan in the Challenge Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hamilton averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Annan averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Hamilton won 3, Annan won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 11, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Hamilton and 1.50 for Annan. This points to a Hamilton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hamilton
18%
Draws
37%
Annan
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamilton picked up more points recently compared to Annan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 16%
Annan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Annan
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Annan
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 League One
Annan vs Hamilton
1:3
Feb 10, 2024 League One
Hamilton vs Annan
2:3
Nov 28, 2023 League One
Annan vs Hamilton
1:2
Sep 29, 2023 League One
Hamilton vs Annan
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Annan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dixon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hooper S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 44 / 100
Annan 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Annan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hamilton or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hamilton attacking → ← attacking Annan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Annan let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hamilton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Annan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 42
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210