Sport Picks

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Hamilton vs Eastern Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Feutz R.
21' Event
Tieku D.
33' Event
Feutz R.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship game between Hamilton and Eastern Suburbs finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Suburbs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hamilton
15%
Draws
34%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern Suburbs come out ahead of Hamilton on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Eastern Suburbs's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2022 Chatham Cup
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
1:1
Dec 20, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Eastern Suburbs
1:2
Jan 26, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton
3:0
Nov 10, 2019 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Eastern Suburbs
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tieku D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Feutz R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 26 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamilton scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Eastern Suburbs let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Hamilton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
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Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 8 4 2 27:13 28
2 Team Wellington 14 7 5 2 35:21 26
3 Hamilton 14 5 5 4 23:21 20
4 Eastern Suburbs 14 5 4 5 25:23 19
5 Waitakere United 14 4 6 4 28:26 18
6 Canterbury 14 5 3 6 21:24 18
7 Hawke s Bay 14 4 1 9 17:29 13
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 14 2 4 8 18:37 10
Promotion - Football Championship (Play Offs)