Sport Picks
Hamilton vs Edinburgh City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton 
Match Events
21'
21'
Leitch J.
Assist: Walker L.
80'
80'
Thomas D.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hamilton have won more games recently than Edinburgh City.
- Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Edinburgh City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamilton | Edinburgh City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Edinburgh City
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Edinburgh City
2:3
Mar 9, 2024 League One
Hamilton vs Edinburgh City
1:0
Dec 30, 2023 League One
Edinburgh City vs Hamilton
2:5
Oct 21, 2023 League One
Hamilton vs Edinburgh City
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamilton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Edinburgh City Compare
Top Goalscorer Leitch J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamilton 95 / 100
Edinburgh City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamilton Edinburgh City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamilton found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Hamilton stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Edinburgh City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hamilton VS Edinburgh City
2 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamilton
(Home) 03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1 Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0 Kilmarnock B
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1 Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4 Hamilton
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1 Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0 Kilmarnock B
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1 Queen of the South
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 3
Edinburgh City
(Away) 03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3 Stirling
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
05 Sept
Clyde
3 : 2 Edinburgh City
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1 Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
