Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton vs Edinburgh City

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Tue, Aug 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Hamilton at 1.91 goals for, 1 against; Edinburgh City at 1.07 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Hamilton have won 3 to Edinburgh City's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 27, 2025, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.06, favoring Hamilton. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hamilton
15%
Draws
39%
Edinburgh City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamilton have won more games recently than Edinburgh City.
  • Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Edinburgh City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 20%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Edinburgh City
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.91 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Edinburgh City
2:3
Mar 9, 2024 League One
Hamilton vs Edinburgh City
1:0
Dec 30, 2023 League One
Edinburgh City vs Hamilton
2:5
Oct 21, 2023 League One
Hamilton vs Edinburgh City
1:1
Aug 19, 2023 League One
Edinburgh City vs Hamilton
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 85 / 100
Edinburgh City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Edinburgh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Edinburgh City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Hamilton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Edinburgh City
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
12 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 3
Celtic B
08 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Alloa
01 Aug
Montrose
0 : 5
Hamilton
25 Jul
Hamilton
5 : 0
Elgin City
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Edinburgh City

(Away)
15 Aug
Dumbarton
0 : 3
Edinburgh City
11 Aug
Edinburgh City
3 : 1
Cowdenbeath
08 Aug
Spartans
2 : 2
Edinburgh City
01 Aug
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Elgin City
21 Jul
Stranraer
0 : 2
Edinburgh City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clachnacuddin 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Peterhead 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 Rangers B 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 Queen of the South 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Clydebank FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
6 St. Mirren B 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
7 Formartine Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
8 Aberdeen B 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
9 East Kilbride 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
10 Stirling 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
11 Airdrieonians 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
12 Celtic B 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
13 Edinburgh City 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
14 Montrose 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
15 Hearts B 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
16 Kelty Hearts 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
17 Ross County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
18 Alloa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
19 Bonnyrigg Rose 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
20 Spartans 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
21 East Fife 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
22 Motherwell B 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
23 Berwick 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
24 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Elgin City 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Annan 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Kilmarnock B 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
28 Cove Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
29 Cowdenbeath 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Hamilton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 Dumbarton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
32 Fraserburgh 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
33 Dundee FC B 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Clyde 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
35 Forfar Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
36 Banks O' Dee 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
38 Cumbernauld Colts 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
39 Hibernian B 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
40 Dundee Utd B 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)